Articles
analysisAugust 1, 2026· 4 min
Rest and travel: what ten weeks of demo data says
Short weeks and long flights carry a measurable, but modest, cost in the model.
methodologyAugust 1, 2026· 4 min
How we grade the model: Brier scores, calibration, and honesty
Every published projection is graded and archived. Here is exactly how the scoreboard works.
weekly previewAugust 1, 2026· 4 min
Week 11 model outlook: cold-weather variance arrives
Northern venues bring wind and cold into the projection picture for the first time this season.